RightDataUSA

Demographics and Elections Commentary tagged with Voting

2/1/2023: These are the states Americans are moving to [The Hill]


Photo credit: iStock

Nothing unexpected here -- people are moving to the usual destinations (Texas, Florida, the rest of the Sun Belt) and fleeing from pathological liberal areas, especially California which has had net domestic outmigration for three decades now and led the nation again in escapees in 2022.

We often hear anecdotal BS -- worth about as much as trying to predict election outcomes from yard signs, or the opinions of a person's tiny circle of friends -- along the lines of "My new neighbor who just moved here from [California, New York, Illinois, or whatever liberal state] is a true conservative! I was shocked!" -- but it's really nothing more than selection bias. If you live in a decent area, then chances are that many of the new neighbors you get are decent people too.

Texas is a prime target for Californication although liberals from other states clearly target it as well. Texans who live in good communities may marvel at how conservative the recent immigrants from liberal states are, but if you go somewhere like Austin (notice all the California license plates?) and ask those natives what they think of the massive influx of new arrivals, they'll surely tell you how fantastic it is that so many new like-minded liberals are arriving in Texas daily and transforming the state from blue (proper color usage) to purple.

Who is right? Well, lets see:

Texas election results

At the presidential level, in the early 2000s the state was 10-12% more Republican than the national average even when there wasn't a Bush on the ticket. In 2016 and 2020 Texas was only 5 or 6% more Republican than the national average. The same declining pattern applies to other statewide elections in Texas, so it's not just a "Trump effect" -- and that's even with rural Hispanics supposedly moving toward the GOP.

So who is causing the decline? Blacks? Nah, they're already as far left as possible. Urban Hispanics? Ditto. The answer, to a significant extent, is White invaders -- from states like California. It's been an open question for years as to how long before Texas flips to the dark side. Within a few years we'll be looking back, surprised it held out as long as it did. Obviously, without Texas there is no viable "path to 270" for any GOP presidential candidate.

Tags:

Demographics Voting with their feet Texas Californication


12/14/2022: Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger Will Propose Ranked Choice Voting to State Legislature [Conservative Treehouse]


Photo credit: 11alive.com

Despite the adverse electoral outcomes over the past several months in Alaska, there's still a lot of ignorance on the right regarding the beneficial effect of Rigged Choice Voting (RCV) on liberal candidates of both parties and, as we predicted months ago, emboldened liberals are now trying to foist this scheme anywhere they think they can get away with it, focusing mainly on marginal states like Nevada and Georgia or solidly Republican ones like Utah, but never on Democrat states -- why mess with success?

If you're still clueless as to how Rigged Choice Voting works, and why those who hate and fear conservatives are so ga-ga about it, then be sure to read this.

Leftists are currently ramping up their efforts to get RCV mandated in the three states mentioned above, and possibly elsewhere; for example, the RINO squish Governor of Missouri is well-known to want this for his state in order to marginalize conservative opposition. In Georgia, the most likely target of Benedict Raffensperger's machinations can be described in 3 letters: MTG. Solidly conservative congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene represents a solidly Republican district in northwest Georgia. She easily achieves at least 50% of the vote in any 2-way race against a Democrat. Even a helpful Democrat puppet candidate running as a Libertarian and making it a 3-way race wouldn't steal enough votes to get Greene below 50%.

But if Georgia forces through the Alaska version of Rigged Choice Voting, there will be a four-way race in November of 2024 and that outcome will look a lot like what happened in Alaska in 2022. Greene will not get to 50%, and she will end up playing the same role as Sarah Palin did twice in Alaska in 2022 -- the role of loser. Democrats will make sure to have only one candidate on the ballot, while RINOs will line up behind a Republican more to their liking and will therefore split the GOP vote. Even if Greene leads all candidates on the first ballot, she won't get to the required 50% threshold and that means the provisions of Rigged Choice Voting then kick in. When they do, the highly likely outcome is a win-win for the left: either a liberal Democrat or a liberal Republican will be the new congressman from Georgia's 14th district.

Tags:

Georgia Rigged Choice Voting Brad Raffensperger