2024 population: 22,184
(
2,504 from 2020)
Land area: 3612.5 square miles
Population density: 6.1 persons per square mile
| 2024 Census data | |||
| White: | 20,375 | 91.85% | 11.6% |
| Black: | 97 | 0.44% | 22.8% |
| Indian: | 288 | 1.30% | 23.1% |
| Asian: | 123 | 0.55% | 21.8% |
| 2+ races: | 554 | 2.50% | 23.4% |
| Hispanic: | 747 | 3.37% | 35.1% |
| Total non-White: | 1,809 | 8.15% | 27.8% |
| 2020-2024 Components | Number | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Births: | 738 | 9.4 |
| Deaths: | 1,328 | 16.9 |
| Net Migration: | 3,043 | 38.7 |
| Net Immigration: | 35 | 0.4 |
| Change in White population: | 2,111 | 10.7 |
| Change in Non-White pop.: | 393 | 2.0 |
| Recent Trends | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | Δ Margin | Swing % | ||
| 2024 vs. 2020 | R +237 | R +457 | R + 3.9% | |
| D -220 | ||||
| 2024 vs. 2016 | R +2,180 | R +1,606 | R + 1.2% | |
| D +574 | ||||
| 2020 vs. 2016 | R +1,943 | R +1,149 | D + 2.7% | |
| D +794 | ||||
| 2024 vs. 2012 | R +2,852 | R +2,789 | R + 13.9% | |
| D +63 | ||||
| 2016 vs. 2008 | R +1,025 | R +2,009 | R + 22.8% | |
| D -984 | ||||
| How to interpret this table | ||||
| Year | Turnout | Winner | Runner-Up | Other | Total Votes | Diff (St) | Diff (US) | PSV | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 67% | Donald Trump (R) | 8,909 | 75.6% | Kamala Harris (D) | 2,615 | 22.2% | 265 [+] | 2.2% | 11,789 | 17 | 26 | 1.95% |
| 2020 | 73% | Donald Trump* (R) | 8,672 | 73.8% | Joe Biden (D) | 2,835 | 24.1% | 242 [+] | 2.1% | 11,749 | 17 | 27 | 1.95% |
| 2016 | 58% | Donald Trump (R) | 6,729 | 72.1% | Hillary Clinton (D) | 2,041 | 21.9% | 560 [+] | 6.0% | 9,330 | 16 | 26 | 1.86% |
| 2012 | 56% | Mitt Romney (R) | 6,057 | 68.1% | Barack Obama* (D) | 2,552 | 28.7% | 281 [+] | 3.2% | 8,890 | 13 | 21 | 1.83% |
| 2008 | 60% | John McCain (R) | 5,704 | 61.8% | Barack Obama (D) | 3,025 | 32.8% | 498 [+] | 5.4% | 9,227 | 12 | 16 | 1.87% |
| 2004 | 57% | George W. Bush* (R) | 5,889 | 69.7% | John Kerry (D) | 2,320 | 27.5% | 240 [+] | 2.8% | 8,449 | 11 | 19 | 1.88% |
| 2000 | 56% | George W. Bush (R) | 5,578 | 71.1% | Albert Gore, Jr. (D) | 1,629 | 20.8% | 639 [+] | 8.1% | 7,846 | 12 | 23 | 1.92% |
| 1996 | 59% | Robert Dole (R) | 3,552 | 45.2% | Bill Clinton* (D) | 2,705 | 34.4% | 1,609 [+] | 20.5% | 7,866 | 1 | 4 | 1.93% |
| 1992 | 66% | George Bush* (R) | 2,799 | 33.4% | Bill Clinton (D) | 2,765 | 33.0% | 2,814 [+] | 33.6% | 8,378 | -2 | -4 | 2.04% |
| 1988 | 60% | Michael Dukakis (D) | 3,601 | 49.4% | George Bush (R) | 3,500 | 48.0% | 193 [+] | 2.6% | 7,294 | -4 | -5 | 1.99% |
| 1984 | 60% | Ronald Reagan* (R) | 4,080 | 56.8% | Walter Mondale (D) | 2,959 | 41.2% | 145 | 2.0% | 7,184 | -4 | -2 | 1.87% |
| 1980 | 62% | Ronald Reagan (R) | 4,202 | 57.2% | Jimmy Carter* (D) | 2,422 | 33.0% | 724 [+] | 9.9% | 7,348 | 0 | 6 | 2.02% |
| 1976 | 57% | Jimmy Carter (D) | 3,146 | 50.1% | Gerald Ford* (R) | 3,017 | 48.0% | 120 [+] | 1.9% | 6,283 | -5 | 0 | 1.91% |
| 1972 | 56% | Richard Nixon* (R) | 3,276 | 52.8% | George McGovern (D) | 2,402 | 38.7% | 530 [+] | 8.5% | 6,208 | -5 | -8 | 1.95% |
| 1968 | 62% | Hubert Humphrey (D) | 2,677 | 46.1% | Richard Nixon (R) | 2,355 | 40.6% | 775 [+] | 13.3% | 5,807 | -10 | -3 | 2.12% |
| 1964 | 58% | Lyndon Johnson* (D) | 3,140 | 66.7% | Barry Goldwater (R) | 1,554 | 33.0% | 15 | 0.3% | 4,709 | -8 | -5 | 1.69% |
| 1960 | 66% | John Kennedy (D) | 2,623 | 57.7% | Richard Nixon (R) | 1,902 | 41.8% | 21 | 0.5% | 4,546 | -9 | -8 | 1.64% |
| 1956 | 71% | Dwight Eisenhower* (R) | 2,321 | 50.4% | Adlai Stevenson (D) | 2,286 | 49.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 4,607 | -7 | -7 | 1.70% |
| 1952 | 69% | Adlai Stevenson (D) | 1,907 | 49.9% | Dwight Eisenhower (R) | 1,881 | 49.2% | 33 | 0.9% | 3,821 | -10 | -6 | 1.44% |
| 1948 | 57% | Harry Truman* (D) | 1,689 | 58.4% | Thomas Dewey (R) | 1,079 | 37.3% | 125 [+] | 4.3% | 2,893 | -6 | -8 | 1.29% |
| 1944 | 53% | Franklin Roosevelt* (D) | 1,445 | 55.8% | Thomas Dewey (R) | 1,109 | 42.8% | 35 | 1.4% | 2,589 | -2 | -3 | 1.25% |
| 1940 | 74% | Franklin Roosevelt* (D) | 2,150 | 62.4% | Wendell Willkie (R) | 1,250 | 36.3% | 48 | 1.4% | 3,448 | -4 | -9 | 1.39% |
| 1936 | 73% | Franklin Roosevelt* (D) | 2,117 | 69.4% | Alf Landon (R) | 745 | 24.4% | 188 [+] | 6.2% | 3,050 | -3 | -12 | 1.32% |
| 1932 | 72% | Franklin Roosevelt (D) | 1,867 | 64.2% | Herbert Hoover* (R) | 833 | 28.7% | 206 [+] | 7.1% | 2,906 | -7 | -11 | 1.34% |
| 1928 | 59% | Herbert Hoover (R) | 1,217 | 52.3% | Al Smith (D) | 1,067 | 45.9% | 43 [+] | 1.8% | 2,327 | -6 | -6 | 1.20% |
| 1924 | 58% | Robert LaFollette (Prog) | 1,030 | 43.2% | Calvin Coolidge (R) | 976 | 40.9% | 381 [+] | 16.0% | 2,387 | -2 | -13 | 1.37% |
| 1920 | 48% | Warren Harding (R) | 1,187 | 57.5% | James Cox (D) | 683 | 33.1% | 193 [+] | 9.4% | 2,063 | -4 | -3 | 1.15% |
| 1916 | 59% | Woodrow Wilson* (D) | 1,186 | 51.9% | Charles Evans Hughes (R) | 807 | 35.3% | 290 [+] | 12.7% | 2,283 | -2 | -11 | 1.28% |
| 1912 | 35% | Woodrow Wilson (D) | 346 | 34.4% | Eugene Debs (Soc) | 235 | 23.4% | 424 [+] | 42.2% | 1,005 | -1 | -2 | 1.26% |
Click on the Year to view county-level data for that election.
| Year | Type | Turnout | Winner | Runner-Up | Other | Total Votes | Diff | PSV | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | S1 | 67% | Tim Sheehy (R) | 8,291 | 70.1% | Jon Tester* (D) | 3,287 | 27.8% | 241 [+] | 2.0% | 11,819 | 18 | 1.95% |
| 2024 | G | 67% | Greg Gianforte* (R) | 8,820 | 75.1% | Ryan Busse (D) | 2,634 | 22.4% | 298 [+] | 2.5% | 11,752 | 16 | 1.95% |
| 2020 | S2 | 72% | Steve Daines* (R) | 8,490 | 72.5% | Steve Bullock (D) | 3,228 | 27.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 11,718 | 17 | 1.93% |
| 2020 | G | 72% | Greg Gianforte (R) | 8,279 | 70.7% | Mike Cooney (D) | 3,001 | 25.6% | 426 [+] | 3.6% | 11,706 | 16 | 1.94% |
| 2018 | S1 | 58% | Matt Rosendale (R) | 6,137 | 65.7% | Jon Tester* (D) | 2,902 | 31.1% | 298 [+] | 3.2% | 9,337 | 19 | 1.85% |
| 2016 | G | 59% | Greg Gianforte (R) | 5,728 | 60.7% | Steve Bullock* (D) | 3,308 | 35.0% | 406 [+] | 4.3% | 9,442 | 14 | 1.85% |
| 2014 | S2 | 46% | Steve Daines (R) | 5,204 | 70.9% | Amanda Curtis (D) | 1,904 | 25.9% | 234 [+] | 3.2% | 7,342 | 13 | 1.99% |
| 2012 | S1 | 56% | Dennis Rehberg (R) | 5,080 | 56.9% | Jon Tester* (D) | 3,091 | 34.6% | 757 [+] | 8.5% | 8,928 | 12 | 1.84% |
| 2012 | G | 56% | Rick Hill (R) | 5,487 | 62.0% | Steve Bullock (D) | 2,920 | 33.0% | 442 [+] | 5.0% | 8,849 | 15 | 1.83% |
| 2008 | S2 | 59% | Max Baucus* (D) | 5,627 | 62.0% | Bob Kelleher (R) | 3,449 | 38.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 9,076 | 11 | 1.89% |
| 2008 | G | 59% | Brian Schweitzer* (D) | 5,116 | 56.1% | Roy Brown (R) | 3,711 | 40.7% | 289 [+] | 3.2% | 9,116 | 8 | 1.87% |
| 2006 | S1 | 48% | Conrad Burns* (R) | 4,105 | 56.2% | Jon Tester (D) | 2,860 | 39.2% | 336 [+] | 4.6% | 7,301 | 8 | 1.80% |
| 2004 | G | 56% | Bob Brown (R) | 4,647 | 56.1% | Brian Schweitzer (D) | 3,286 | 39.7% | 348 [+] | 4.2% | 8,281 | 10 | 1.86% |
| 2002 | S2 | 47% | Max Baucus* (D) | 3,428 | 50.7% | Mike Taylor (R) | 3,026 | 44.8% | 305 [+] | 4.5% | 6,759 | 13 | 2.07% |
| 2000 | S1 | 56% | Conrad Burns* (R) | 5,010 | 63.6% | Brian Schweitzer (D) | 2,629 | 33.4% | 238 [+] | 3.0% | 7,877 | 13 | 1.91% |
| 2000 | G | 55% | Judy Martz (R) | 4,735 | 60.6% | Mark O'Keefe (D) | 2,833 | 36.3% | 241 [+] | 3.1% | 7,809 | 10 | 1.90% |
| 1996 | S2 | 54% | Dennis Rehberg (R) | 4,093 | 56.8% | Max Baucus* (D) | 2,599 | 36.1% | 517 [+] | 7.2% | 7,209 | 12 | 1.77% |
| 1996 | G | 57% | Marc Racicot* (R) | 6,379 | 83.2% | Judy Jacobson (D) | 1,284 | 16.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 7,663 | 4 | 1.89% |
| 1994 | S1 | 56% | Conrad Burns* (R) | 4,839 | 65.8% | Jack Mudd (D) | 2,517 | 34.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 7,356 | 3 | 2.10% |
| 1992 | G | 65% | Marc Racicot (R) | 4,588 | 55.7% | Dorothy Bradley (D) | 3,648 | 44.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 8,236 | 4 | 2.02% |
| 1990 | S2 | 54% | Max Baucus* (D) | 3,716 | 55.7% | Allen Kolstad (R) | 2,717 | 40.8% | 233 [+] | 3.5% | 6,666 | 11 | 2.09% |
| 1988 | S1 | 48% | Conrad Burns (R) | 3,216 | 55.4% | John Melcher* (D) | 2,588 | 44.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 5,804 | 4 | 1.59% |
| 1988 | G | 59% | Thomas Judge (D) | 3,885 | 53.8% | Stan Stephens (R) | 3,134 | 43.4% | 202 [+] | 2.8% | 7,221 | -9 | 1.97% |
| 1984 | S2 | 59% | Max Baucus* (D) | 4,329 | 61.4% | Chuck Cozzens (R) | 2,510 | 35.6% | 207 [+] | 2.9% | 7,046 | -5 | 1.86% |
| 1984 | G | 60% | Ted Schwinden* (D) | 4,909 | 68.7% | Pat Goodover (R) | 1,938 | 27.1% | 297 [+] | 4.2% | 7,144 | 1 | 1.89% |
| 1982 | S1 | 51% | John Melcher* (D) | 3,499 | 57.8% | Larry Williams (R) | 2,311 | 38.2% | 243 [+] | 4.0% | 6,053 | -3 | 1.89% |
| 1980 | G | 61% | Ted Schwinden (D) | 4,027 | 55.7% | Jack Ramirez (R) | 3,209 | 44.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 7,236 | 0 | 2.01% |
| 1978 | S2 | 51% | Max Baucus (D) | 3,698 | 65.4% | Larry Williams (R) | 1,953 | 34.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 5,651 | -10 | 1.96% |
| 1976 | S1 | 56% | John Melcher (D) | 4,331 | 70.2% | Stanley Burger (R) | 1,841 | 29.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 6,172 | -6 | 1.92% |
| 1976 | G | 55% | Thomas Judge* (D) | 4,096 | 67.5% | Robert Woodahl (R) | 1,968 | 32.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 6,064 | -4 | 1.91% |
| 1972 | S2 | 56% | Lee Metcalf* (D) | 3,460 | 55.6% | Henry Hibbard (R) | 2,758 | 44.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 6,218 | -4 | 1.97% |
| 1972 | G | 55% | Thomas Judge (D) | 3,995 | 64.6% | Ed Smith (R) | 2,188 | 35.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 6,183 | -10 | 1.94% |
| 1970 | S1 | 42% | Mike Mansfield* (D) | 2,608 | 58.3% | Harold Wallace (R) | 1,866 | 41.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 4,474 | 2 | 1.80% |
| 1968 | G | 63% | Forrest Anderson (D) | 3,920 | 66.7% | Tim Babcock* (R) | 1,613 | 27.4% | 347 [+] | 5.9% | 5,880 | -14 | 2.11% |
| 1966 | S2 | 53% | Lee Metcalf* (D) | 2,894 | 63.0% | Tim Babcock (R) | 1,700 | 37.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 4,594 | -10 | 1.77% |
| 1964 | S1 | 60% | Mike Mansfield* (D) | 3,655 | 75.0% | Alex Blewett (R) | 1,219 | 25.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 4,874 | -10 | 1.74% |
| 1964 | G | 60% | Roland Renne (D) | 3,091 | 63.4% | Tim Babcock* (R) | 1,785 | 36.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 4,876 | -15 | 1.74% |
| 1960 | S2 | 69% | Lee Metcalf (D) | 3,163 | 67.2% | Orvin Fjare (R) | 1,543 | 32.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 4,706 | -16 | 1.70% |
| 1960 | G | 69% | Paul Cannon (D) | 2,896 | 61.4% | Donald Nutter (R) | 1,821 | 38.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 4,717 | -17 | 1.69% |
Click on the District to view county-level data for that election (where available).
| Date | District | Winner | Runner-Up | Other | Total Votes | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-05 | MT01 | Ryan Zinke* (R) | 8,534 | 72.6% | Monica Tranel (D) | 2,756 | 23.5% | 460 | 3.9% | 11,750 | |||
| County Total for 2024-11-05: | 11,750 | ||||||||||||
| 2022-11-08 | MT01 | Ryan Zinke (R) | 6,687 | 71.6% | Monica Tranel (D) | 2,200 | 23.6% | 446 | 4.8% | 9,333 | |||
| County Total for 2022-11-08: | 9,333 | ||||||||||||
| 2020-11-03 | MT00 | Matt Rosendale (R) | 8,587 | 73.4% | Kathleen Williams (D) | 3,112 | 26.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 11,699 | |||
| County Total for 2020-11-03: | 11,699 | ||||||||||||
| 2018-11-06 | MT00 | Greg Gianforte* (R) | 6,453 | 69.2% | Kathleen Williams (D) | 2,628 | 28.2% | 245 | 2.6% | 9,326 | |||
| County Total for 2018-11-06: | 9,326 | ||||||||||||
| 2017-05-25 sp | MT00 | Greg Gianforte (R) | 4,471 | 65.4% | Rob Quist (D) | 2,104 | 30.8% | 260 | 3.8% | 6,835 | |||
| County Total for 2017-05-25: | 6,835 | ||||||||||||
| 2016-11-08 | MT00 | Ryan Zinke* (R) | 6,531 | 69.4% | Denise Juneau (D) | 2,445 | 26.0% | 439 | 4.7% | 9,415 | |||
| County Total for 2016-11-08: | 9,415 | ||||||||||||
| 2014-11-04 | MT00 | Ryan Zinke (R) | 4,940 | 67.9% | John Lewis (D) | 1,933 | 26.6% | 403 | 5.5% | 7,276 | |||
| County Total for 2014-11-04: | 7,276 | ||||||||||||
| 2012-11-06 | MT00 | Steve Daines (R) | 5,426 | 62.1% | Kim Gillan (D) | 2,801 | 32.1% | 507 | 5.8% | 8,734 | |||
| County Total for 2012-11-06: | 8,734 | ||||||||||||
| 2010-11-02 | MT00 | Dennis Rehberg* (R) | 4,926 | 69.2% | Dennis McDonald (D) | 1,688 | 23.7% | 509 | 7.1% | 7,123 | |||
| County Total for 2010-11-02: | 7,123 | ||||||||||||
| 2008-11-04 | MT00 | Dennis Rehberg* (R) | 6,334 | 69.9% | John Driscoll (D) | 2,324 | 25.6% | 408 | 4.5% | 9,066 | |||
| County Total for 2008-11-04: | 9,066 | ||||||||||||
| 2006-11-07 | MT00 | Dennis Rehberg* (R) | 4,801 | 66.2% | Monica Lindeen (D) | 2,182 | 30.1% | 270 | 3.7% | 7,253 | |||
| County Total for 2006-11-07: | 7,253 | ||||||||||||
| 2004-11-02 | MT00 | Dennis Rehberg* (R) | 5,937 | 71.7% | Tracy Velazquez (D) | 2,078 | 25.1% | 268 | 3.2% | 8,283 | |||
| County Total for 2004-11-02: | 8,283 | ||||||||||||
| 2002-11-05 | MT00 | Dennis Rehberg* (R) | 4,869 | 72.0% | Steve Kelly (D) | 1,686 | 24.9% | 210 | 3.1% | 6,765 | |||
| County Total for 2002-11-05: | 6,765 | ||||||||||||
| 2000-11-07 | MT00 | Dennis Rehberg (R) | 4,576 | 58.6% | Nancy Keenan (D) | 3,034 | 38.9% | 199 | 2.5% | 7,809 | |||
| County Total for 2000-11-07: | 7,809 | ||||||||||||
| 1998-11-03 | MT00 | Rick Hill* (R) | 4,196 | 62.2% | Dusty Deschamps (D) | 2,348 | 34.8% | 204 | 3.0% | 6,748 | |||
| County Total for 1998-11-03: | 6,748 | ||||||||||||
| 1996-11-05 | MT00 | Rick Hill (R) | 4,526 | 58.1% | Bill Yellowtail (D) | 2,961 | 38.0% | 299 | 3.8% | 7,786 | |||
| County Total for 1996-11-05: | 7,786 | ||||||||||||
| 1994-11-08 | MT00 | Cy Jamison (R) | 3,635 | 49.6% | Pat Williams* (D) | 3,061 | 41.7% | 638 | 8.7% | 7,334 | |||
| County Total for 1994-11-08: | 7,334 | ||||||||||||
| 1992-11-03 | MT00 | Ron Marlenee* (R) | 4,304 | 52.6% | Pat Williams* (D) | 3,531 | 43.1% | 352 | 4.3% | 8,187 | |||
| County Total for 1992-11-03: | 8,187 | ||||||||||||
Party registration is not used in this state, however as of 2022 registrations in Lincoln County, MT were estimated to be 51% Republican and 16% Democrat.
| Year | Total | Republican | Democrat | Other | R/D Edge | R/D Edge % | VAPOP % | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13,499 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 13,499 | 100.0% | n/a | n/a | 77% |
| 2022 | 15,205 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 15,205 | 100.0% | n/a | n/a | 86% |
| 2020 | 14,463 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 14,463 | 100.0% | n/a | n/a | 82% |
| 2018 | 13,391 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 13,391 | 100.0% | n/a | n/a | 78% |
| 2016 | 13,472 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 13,472 | 100.0% | n/a | n/a | 80% |
| 2014 | 13,103 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 13,103 | 100.0% | n/a | n/a | 79% |
| 2012 | 12,490 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 12,490 | 100.0% | n/a | n/a | 77% |
| 2010 | 11,987 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 11,987 | 100.0% | n/a | n/a | 76% |
| 2008 | 12,968 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 12,968 | 100.0% | n/a | n/a | 84% |
| 2006 | 12,508 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 12,508 | 100.0% | n/a | n/a | 83% |
| 2004 | 12,421 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 12,421 | 100.0% | n/a | n/a | 84% |
| 2002 | 12,286 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 12,286 | 100.0% | n/a | n/a | 85% |
| 2000 | 13,776 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 13,776 | 100.0% | n/a | n/a | 98% |
| 1994 | 10,648 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 10,648 | 100.0% | n/a | n/a | 82% |
| 1986 | 8,983 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 8,983 | 100.0% | n/a | n/a | 74% |