Election Results for Modesto, CA Metro Area -- RightDataUSA.com

2020-2022 Components	Number	Rate
Births:	16,116	14.6
Deaths:	12,156	11.0
Net Migration:	-7,153	-6.5
Net Immigration:	1,212	1.1

Recent Trends
	Votes	Δ Margin	Swing %
2024 vs. 2020	R +2,841	R +23,335	R + 12.1%
D -20,494
2024 vs. 2016	R +28,492	R +24,792	R + 13.2%
D +3,700
2020 vs. 2016	R +25,651	R +1,457	R + 1.2%
D +24,194
2024 vs. 2012	R +33,527	R +25,904	R + 14.1%
D +7,623

2016 vs. 2008	R +997	D +371	D + 0.2%
D +1,368
How to interpret this table

Click on the Year to view county-level data for that election.

Year	Turnout	Winner			Runner-Up			Other		Total Votes	Diff (US)	PUSV
2024	49%	Donald Trump (R)	106,986	54.2%	Kamala Harris (D)	85,347	43.2%	5,139 [+]	2.6%	197,472	4	0.13%
[-] Other candidates in 2024: Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (I) 2,817 (1.4%); Jill Stein (Grn) 984 (0.5%); Chase Oliver (Lbt) 622 (0.3%);
2020	54%	Joe Biden (D)	105,841	49.0%	Donald Trump* (R)	104,145	48.2%	6,001 [+]	2.8%	215,987	1	0.14%
[-] Other candidates in 2020: Jo Jorgensen (Lbt) 2,494 (1.2%);
2016	45%	Hillary Clinton (D)	81,647	46.8%	Donald Trump (R)	78,494	45.0%	14,265 [+]	8.2%	174,406	-1	0.13%
[-] Other candidates in 2016: Gary Johnson (Lbt) 6,662 (3.8%); Jill Stein (Grn) 2,562 (1.5%); Evan McMullin (I) 563 (0.3%);
2012	42%	Barack Obama* (D)	77,724	49.9%	Mitt Romney (R)	73,459	47.1%	4,633 [+]	3.0%	155,816	0	0.12%
[-] Other candidates in 2012: Gary Johnson (Lbt) 1,499 (1.0%);
2008	45%	Barack Obama (D)	80,279	49.7%	John McCain (R)	77,497	48.0%	3,736 [+]	2.3%	161,512	2	0.12%
[-] Other candidates in 2008: Ralph Nader (I) 1,309 (0.8%); Bob Barr (Lbt) 635 (0.4%);
2004	44%	George W. Bush* (R)	85,407	58.6%	John Kerry (D)	58,829	40.4%	1,388 [+]	1.0%	145,624	8	0.12%
[-] Other candidates in 2004: Ralph Nader (I) 0 (0.0%);
2000	42%	George W. Bush (R)	67,188	52.4%	Albert Gore, Jr. (D)	56,448	44.0%	4,631 [+]	3.6%	128,267	4	0.12%
[-] Other candidates in 2000: Ralph Nader (Grn) 3,398 (2.6%); Pat Buchanan (Ref) 569 (0.4%);
1996	41%	Bill Clinton* (D)	53,738	45.9%	Robert Dole (R)	52,403	44.8%	10,866 [+]	9.3%	117,007	4	0.12%
[-] Other candidates in 1996: Ross Perot (Ref) 8,360 (7.1%); Ralph Nader (Grn) 1,172 (1.0%); Harry Browne (Lbt) 415 (0.4%);
1992	48%	Bill Clinton (D)	52,415	40.9%	George Bush* (R)	47,275	36.9%	28,315 [+]	22.1%	128,005	0	0.12%
[-] Other candidates in 1992: Ross Perot (I) 27,651 (21.6%);
1988	40%	George Bush (R)	51,648	53.1%	Michael Dukakis (D)	44,685	45.9%	982 [+]	1.0%	97,315	0	0.11%
[-] Other candidates in 1988: Ron Paul (Lbt) 409 (0.4%);
1984	44%	Ronald Reagan* (R)	55,665	59.2%	Walter Mondale (D)	37,459	39.9%	861	0.9%	93,985	0	0.10%
[-] Other candidates in 1984:
1980	45%	Ronald Reagan (R)	41,595	49.4%	Jimmy Carter* (D)	33,683	40.0%	8,908 [+]	10.6%	84,186	-1	0.10%
[-] Other candidates in 1980: John Anderson (I) 7,134 (8.5%); Edward Clark (Lbt) 1,224 (1.5%);
1976	48%	Jimmy Carter (D)	38,448	52.3%	Gerald Ford* (R)	32,937	44.8%	2,080 [+]	2.8%	73,465	-3	0.09%
[-] Other candidates in 1976: Eugene McCarthy (I) 292 (0.4%);
1972	57%	Richard Nixon* (R)	39,521	51.4%	George McGovern (D)	35,005	45.5%	2,341 [+]	3.0%	76,867	-9	0.10%
[-] Other candidates in 1972: John Schmitz (Amer) 1,943 (2.5%);
1968	58%	Hubert Humphrey (D)	31,316	48.1%	Richard Nixon (R)	29,573	45.5%	4,174 [+]	6.4%	65,063	2	0.09%
[-] Other candidates in 1968: George Wallace (AIP) 3,973 (6.1%);
1964	63%	Lyndon Johnson* (D)	43,078	66.1%	Barry Goldwater (R)	21,973	33.7%	77	0.1%	65,128	-5	0.09%
[-] Other candidates in 1964:
1960	65%	John Kennedy (D)	30,302	49.8%	Richard Nixon (R)	30,213	49.6%	375	0.6%	60,890	0	0.09%
[-] Other candidates in 1960:
1956	59%	Adlai Stevenson (D)	28,040	51.0%	Dwight Eisenhower* (R)	26,695	48.6%	192	0.3%	54,927	-9	0.09%
[-] Other candidates in 1956:
1952	61%	Dwight Eisenhower (R)	29,270	55.6%	Adlai Stevenson (D)	22,837	43.4%	570	1.1%	52,677	0	0.09%
[-] Other candidates in 1952:
1948	49%	Thomas Dewey (R)	18,564	48.4%	Harry Truman* (D)	18,350	47.8%	1,457 [+]	3.8%	38,371	3	0.08%
[-] Other candidates in 1948: Henry Wallace (Prog) 899 (2.3%); Strom Thurmond (StsRts) 0 (0.0%);
1944	47%	Franklin Roosevelt* (D)	15,537	51.3%	Thomas Dewey (R)	14,297	47.2%	437	1.4%	30,271	1	0.06%
[-] Other candidates in 1944:
1940	63%	Franklin Roosevelt* (D)	16,494	52.0%	Wendell Willkie (R)	14,803	46.6%	449	1.4%	31,746	2	0.06%
[-] Other candidates in 1940:
1936	56%	Franklin Roosevelt* (D)	15,341	63.1%	Alf Landon (R)	8,613	35.4%	348 [+]	1.4%	24,302	-1	0.05%
[-] Other candidates in 1936: Norman Thomas (Soc) 80 (0.3%); William Lemke (Union) 0 (0.0%);
1932	54%	Franklin Roosevelt (D)	12,336	58.6%	Herbert Hoover* (R)	7,614	36.2%	1,092 [+]	5.2%	21,042	-3	0.05%
[-] Other candidates in 1932: Norman Thomas (Soc) 595 (2.8%);
1928	46%	Herbert Hoover (R)	10,753	67.1%	Al Smith (D)	5,063	31.6%	203 [+]	1.3%	16,019	9	0.04%
[-] Other candidates in 1928: Norman Thomas (Soc) 203 (1.3%);
1924	43%	Calvin Coolidge (R)	7,569	56.9%	Robert LaFollette (Prog)	4,125	31.0%	1,618 [+]	12.2%	13,312	3	0.05%
[-] Other candidates in 1924: John Davis (D) 1,274 (9.6%);
1920	41%	Warren Harding (R)	7,038	61.6%	James Cox (D)	3,055	26.7%	1,330 [+]	11.6%	11,423	1	0.04%
[-] Other candidates in 1920: Aaron Watkins (Proh) 748 (6.5%); Eugene Debs (Soc) 582 (5.1%); Parley Christiansen (FL) 0 (0.0%);
1916	51%	Woodrow Wilson* (D)	5,490	47.0%	Charles Evans Hughes (R)	4,401	37.7%	1,796 [+]	15.4%	11,687	-8	0.06%
[-] Other candidates in 1916: James Hanly (Proh) 1,067 (9.1%); Allan Benson (Soc) 729 (6.2%);
1912	45%	Theodore Roosevelt (Prog)	3,143	39.8%	Woodrow Wilson (D)	3,127	39.6%	1,630 [+]	20.6%	7,900	-23	0.05%
[-] Other candidates in 1912: Eugene Chafin (Proh) 864 (10.9%); Eugene Debs (Soc) 749 (9.5%); William Taft* (R) 17 (0.2%);
1908	29%	William Taft (R)	1,663	46.5%	William J. Bryan (D)	1,390	38.8%	527 [+]	14.7%	3,580	-5	0.02%
[-] Other candidates in 1908: Eugene Chafin (Proh) 315 (8.8%); Eugene Debs (Soc) 182 (5.1%); Thomas Hisgen (I) 30 (0.8%);
1904	30%	Theodore Roosevelt (R)	1,437	52.4%	Alton Parker (D)	1,110	40.5%	196 [+]	7.1%	2,743	-4	0.02%
[-] Other candidates in 1904: Eugene Debs (Soc) 101 (3.7%); Silas Swallow (Proh) 95 (3.5%); Thomas Watson (Pop) 0 (0.0%);
1900	40%	William J. Bryan (D)	1,270	52.6%	William McKinley* (R)	1,058	43.8%	87 [+]	3.6%	2,415	-8	0.02%
[-] Other candidates in 1900: Eugene Debs (Soc) 0 (0.0%); John Woolley (Proh) 0 (0.0%);

* incumbent PSV: percent of state vote

2020 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Joe Biden (D)

105,841

49.0%

Donald Trump* (R)

104,145

48.2%

Jo Jorgensen (Lbt)

2,494

1.2%

Other

3,507

1.6%

TOTAL

215,987

Turnout: 54%	Diff (US): 1

2016 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Hillary Clinton (D)

81,647

46.8%

Donald Trump (R)

78,494

45.0%

Gary Johnson (Lbt)

6,662

3.8%

Jill Stein (Grn)

2,562

1.5%

Evan McMullin (I)

563

0.3%

Other

4,478

2.6%

TOTAL

174,406

Turnout: 45%	Diff (US): -1

2012 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Barack Obama* (D)

77,724

49.9%

Mitt Romney (R)

73,459

47.1%

Gary Johnson (Lbt)

1,499

1.0%

Other

3,134

2.0%

TOTAL

155,816

Turnout: 42%	Diff (US): 0

2008 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Barack Obama (D)

80,279

49.7%

John McCain (R)

77,497

48.0%

Ralph Nader (I)

1,309

0.8%

Bob Barr (Lbt)

635

0.4%

Other

1,792

1.1%

TOTAL

161,512

Turnout: 45%	Diff (US): 2

2004 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

George W. Bush* (R)

85,407

58.6%

John Kerry (D)

58,829

40.4%

Other

1,388

1.0%

TOTAL

145,624

Turnout: 44%	Diff (US): 8

2000 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

George W. Bush (R)

67,188

52.4%

Albert Gore, Jr. (D)

56,448

44.0%

Ralph Nader (Grn)

3,398

2.6%

Pat Buchanan (Ref)

569

0.4%

Other

664

0.5%

TOTAL

128,267

Turnout: 42%	Diff (US): 4

1996 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Bill Clinton* (D)

53,738

45.9%

Robert Dole (R)

52,403

44.8%

Ross Perot (Ref)

8,360

7.1%

Ralph Nader (Grn)

1,172

1.0%

Harry Browne (Lbt)

415

0.4%

Other

919

0.8%

TOTAL

117,007

Turnout: 41%	Diff (US): 4

1992 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Bill Clinton (D)

52,415

40.9%

George Bush* (R)

47,275

36.9%

Ross Perot (I)

27,651

21.6%

Other

664

0.5%

TOTAL

128,005

Turnout: 48%	Diff (US): 0

1988 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

George Bush (R)

51,648

53.1%

Michael Dukakis (D)

44,685

45.9%

Ron Paul (Lbt)

409

0.4%

Other

573

0.6%

TOTAL

97,315

Turnout: 40%	Diff (US): 0

1984 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Ronald Reagan* (R)

55,665

59.2%

Walter Mondale (D)

37,459

39.9%

Other

861

0.9%

TOTAL

93,985

Turnout: 44%	Diff (US): 0

1980 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Ronald Reagan (R)

41,595

49.4%

Jimmy Carter* (D)

33,683

40.0%

John Anderson (I)

7,134

8.5%

Edward Clark (Lbt)

1,224

1.5%

Other

550

0.7%

TOTAL

84,186

Turnout: 45%	Diff (US): -1

1976 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Jimmy Carter (D)

38,448

52.3%

Gerald Ford* (R)

32,937

44.8%

Eugene McCarthy (I)

292

0.4%

Other

1,788

2.4%

TOTAL

73,465

Turnout: 48%	Diff (US): -3

1972 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Richard Nixon* (R)

39,521

51.4%

George McGovern (D)

35,005

45.5%

John Schmitz (Amer)

1,943

2.5%

Other

398

0.5%

TOTAL

76,867

Turnout: 57%	Diff (US): -9

1968 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Richard Nixon (R)

29,573

45.5%

Hubert Humphrey (D)

31,316

48.1%

George Wallace (AIP)

3,973

6.1%

Other

201

0.3%

TOTAL

65,063

Turnout: 58%	Diff (US): 2

1964 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Lyndon Johnson* (D)

43,078

66.1%

Barry Goldwater (R)

21,973

33.7%

Other

0.1%

TOTAL

65,128

Turnout: 63%	Diff (US): -5

1960 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

John Kennedy (D)

30,302

49.8%

Richard Nixon (R)

30,213

49.6%

Other

375

0.6%

TOTAL

60,890

Turnout: 65%	Diff (US): 0

1956 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Dwight Eisenhower* (R)

26,695

48.6%

Adlai Stevenson (D)

28,040

51.0%

Other

192

0.3%

TOTAL

54,927

Turnout: 59%	Diff (US): -9

1952 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Dwight Eisenhower (R)

29,270

55.6%

Adlai Stevenson (D)

22,837

43.4%

Other

570

1.1%

TOTAL

52,677

Turnout: 61%	Diff (US): 0

1948 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Harry Truman* (D)

18,350

47.8%

Thomas Dewey (R)

18,564

48.4%

Henry Wallace (Prog)

899

2.3%

Other

558

1.5%

TOTAL

38,371

Turnout: 49%	Diff (US): 3

1944 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Franklin Roosevelt* (D)

15,537

51.3%

Thomas Dewey (R)

14,297

47.2%

Other

437

1.4%

TOTAL

30,271

Turnout: 47%	Diff (US): 1

1940 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Franklin Roosevelt* (D)

16,494

52.0%

Wendell Willkie (R)

14,803

46.6%

Other

449

1.4%

TOTAL

31,746

Turnout: 63%	Diff (US): 2

1936 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Franklin Roosevelt* (D)

15,341

63.1%

Alf Landon (R)

8,613

35.4%

Norman Thomas (Soc)

0.3%

Other

268

1.1%

TOTAL

24,302

Turnout: 56%	Diff (US): -1

1932 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Franklin Roosevelt (D)

12,336

58.6%

Herbert Hoover* (R)

7,614

36.2%

Norman Thomas (Soc)

595

2.8%

Other

497

2.4%

TOTAL

21,042

Turnout: 54%	Diff (US): -3

1928 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Herbert Hoover (R)

10,753

67.1%

Al Smith (D)

5,063

31.6%

Norman Thomas (Soc)

203

1.3%

TOTAL

16,019

Turnout: 46%	Diff (US): 9

1924 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Calvin Coolidge (R)

7,569

56.9%

John Davis (D)

1,274

9.6%

Robert LaFollette (Prog)

4,125

31.0%

Other

344

2.6%

TOTAL

13,312

Turnout: 43%	Diff (US): 3

1920 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Warren Harding (R)

7,038

61.6%

James Cox (D)

3,055

26.7%

Eugene Debs (Soc)

582

5.1%

Aaron Watkins (Proh)

748

6.5%

TOTAL

11,423

Turnout: 41%	Diff (US): 1

1916 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Woodrow Wilson* (D)

5,490

47.0%

Charles Evans Hughes (R)

4,401

37.7%

Allan Benson (Soc)

729

6.2%

James Hanly (Proh)

1,067

9.1%

TOTAL

11,687

Turnout: 51%	Diff (US): -8

1912 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Woodrow Wilson (D)

3,127

39.6%

Theodore Roosevelt (Prog)

3,143

39.8%

William Taft* (R)

0.2%

Eugene Debs (Soc)

749

9.5%

Eugene Chafin (Proh)

864

10.9%

TOTAL

7,900

Turnout: 45%	Diff (US): -23

1908 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

William Taft (R)

1,663

46.5%

William J. Bryan (D)

1,390

38.8%

Eugene Debs (Soc)

182

5.1%

Eugene Chafin (Proh)

315

8.8%

Thomas Hisgen (I)

0.8%

TOTAL

3,580

Turnout: 29%	Diff (US): -5

1904 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

Theodore Roosevelt (R)

1,437

52.4%

Alton Parker (D)

1,110

40.5%

Eugene Debs (Soc)

101

3.7%

Silas Swallow (Proh)

3.5%

TOTAL

2,743

Turnout: 30%	Diff (US): -4

1900 President, Modesto, CA Metro Area

Candidate

Votes

Pct

William McKinley* (R)

1,058

43.8%

William J. Bryan (D)

1,270

52.6%

Other

3.6%

TOTAL

2,415

Turnout: 40%	Diff (US): -8

* incumbent

2022 Census data
White:	204,014	37.01%	15.1%
Black:	15,099	2.74%	15.6%
Indian:	2,669	0.48%	7.0%
Asian:	36,166	6.56%	30.4%
2+ races:	15,919	2.89%	14.8%
Hispanic:	277,408	50.32%	28.6%

Total non-White:	347,261	62.99%	26.7%

Change in White population:	-36,409	-7.1
Change in Non-White pop.:	73,231	14.2

Modesto, CA Metro Area

Historical Presidential Election Results for Modesto, CA Metro Area